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تحلیل جامعهشناختی رابطه شاخصهای اقتصادی ـ اجتماعی و نرخ مرگ و میر در ایران (در دوره 1398-1370) | ||
توسعه اجتماعی | ||
دوره 18، شماره 1 - شماره پیاپی 69، آبان 1402، صفحه 1-28 اصل مقاله (456.22 K) | ||
نوع مقاله: مقاله پژوهشی | ||
شناسه دیجیتال (DOI): 10.22055/qjsd.2023.18640 | ||
نویسندگان | ||
سیروس احمدی* 1؛ آرمان حیدری2؛ زهرا شاکری3 | ||
1استاد گروه جامعهشناسی دانشگاه یاسوج، یاسوج، ایران | ||
2استادیار گروه جامعهشناسی دانشگاه یاسوج، یاسوج، ایران | ||
3دانشجوی دکتری جامعهشناسی دانشگاه یاسوج، یاسوج، ایران | ||
چکیده | ||
نرخ مرگ و میر در ایران در دهههای اخیر با نوسانات زیادی همراه بوده است. اگر چه، این موضوع به دلیل اهمیت آن بهطور گسترده مورد بررسی قرار گرفته است اما به ندرت بر حسب شاخصهای کلان و در دورههای طولانی طولانیمدت به آن پرداخته شده است. پژوهش حاضر تلاش کرده است رابطه شاخصهای اقتصادی ـ اجتماعی سرانه تولید ناخالص داخلی، مشارکت زنان در نیروی کار، تورم، بیکاری و میزان باسوادی را با نرخ مرگ و میر در دوره 1398-1370 مورد بررسی قرار دهد. این پژوهش از نوع کمی طولی است که به روش سری زمانی انجام شده است. جهت بررسی رابطه کوتاهمدت و بلندمدت متغیرهای تحقیق، از الگوی خود رگرسیونی با وقفههای توزیعی در نرم افزار مایکروفیت استفاده شده است. بر اساس یافتههای تحقیق، بین تحصیلات زنان و نرخ مرگ و میر (3/4 - :t-ratio، 000/0:pro) رابطه منفی و معنادار وجود دارد. بین بیکاری (5/2 t-ratio:، 023/0:pro) و مشارکت زنان در نیروی کار (7/8 t-ratio:، 000/0:pro) با مرگ و میر رابطه مثبت و معنادار وجود دارد و بین تولید ناخالص داخلی (7/1 t-ratio:، 102/0:pro) و تورم (7/1- :t-ratio، 098/0:pro) با نرخ مرگ و میر رابطه معناداری وجود ندارد. با استناد به یافتههای تحقیق، نتیجهگیری میشود که مرگ و میر در ایران متأثر از تحصیلات زنان، بیکاری، و مشارکت زنان در نیروی کار بهعنوان شاخصهای کلان اقتصادی ـ اجتماعی، است. | ||
کلیدواژهها | ||
مرگ و میر؛ سرانه تولید ناخالص داخلی؛ مشارکت زنان در نیروی کار؛ بیکاری؛ تورم؛ باسوادی | ||
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